JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.36/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.89
-18% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2026 Trans Narva Trans Narva 3-0 HT 2-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
08.11.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-0 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
09.08.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-1 HT 2-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
03.05.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 4-0 HT 1-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
13.04.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
03.11.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 3-3 HT 2-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
1-0
AWAY Trans Narva
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over Trans Narva 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had JK Tammeka Tartu as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 63% of the ball to Trans Narva's 37%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trans Narva led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 2.67 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Trans Narva?

JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a JK Tammeka Tartu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 42%, draw 28%, Trans Narva 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JK Tammeka Tartu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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