Arsenal Tula 1-1 Spartak Kostroma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jun 2026

Arsenal Tula
1-1 HT 0-0
Spartak Kostroma
📅21/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Tula v Spartak Kostroma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 43%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-51% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Spartak Kostroma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.04.2026 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
13.09.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 0-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RUS1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula and Spartak Kostroma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Kostroma at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spartak Kostroma led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.50 for Spartak Kostroma.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?

Arsenal Tula 1-1 Spartak Kostroma in the Friendlies on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Spartak Kostroma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 31%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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