Saipa 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
40%
2.7
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
78%
1.26
Over 2.5
22%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.75
No
73%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
53%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.7pp
40%
Draw
33%
+6.5pp
17%
Away Win
23%
-5.8pp
78%
Under 2.5
76%
+1.8pp
22%
Over 2.5
24%
-1.8pp
27%
BTTS Yes
32%
-5.0pp
73%
BTTS No
68%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.11/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.87
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
27.11.2025 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 0-1 HT 0-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
16.03.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 2-0 HT 1-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
14.10.2023 Saipa Saipa 3-0 HT 2-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
10.03.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 4-0 HT 3-0 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
11.10.2022 Saipa Saipa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa squeezed past Ario Eslamshahr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 40% / 17% — and on the day Saipa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (78%), no to both teams scoring (73%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Saipa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saipa and 1.20 for Ario Eslamshahr.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Saipa 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saipa 43%, draw 40%, Ario Eslamshahr 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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