Okzhetpes 2-1 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 21 Jun 2026

Okzhetpes
2-1 HT 0-1
Tobol
📅21/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2026

Okzhetpes vs Tobol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Okzhetpes v Tobol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.38
+30% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Okzhetpes vs Tobol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Tobol
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
The Meetings
13.07.2025 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 0-1 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
05.04.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-1 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
23.07.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
28.05.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-2 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
24.11.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
22.09.2020 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 0-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
POST-MATCH Okzhetpes vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Okzhetpes edged past Tobol 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Okzhetpes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Okzhetpes and 1.67 for Tobol.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs Tobol?

Okzhetpes 2-1 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 32%, draw 31%, Tobol 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tobol) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobol) ✓ BTTS Yes
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