Forward Madison 3-1 New York Cosmos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-0.1pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Cosmos EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.69/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.45
-19% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -40%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
16.3 Crosses 15.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
0W-1D-0L
AWAY New York Cosmos
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.04.2026 New York Cosmos New York Cosmos 2-2 HT 0-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
3-1
AWAY New York Cosmos
2.47 xG 1.16
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
407 Passes 347
33 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs New York Cosmos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison got the better of New York Cosmos 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.47 to 1.16.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs New York Cosmos?

Forward Madison 3-1 New York Cosmos in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs New York Cosmos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 62%, draw 17%, New York Cosmos 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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