Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.75/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.42
+21% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.4 Crosses 16.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Naples
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 0.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
133 Passes 278
59% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2025 Naples 2-2 HT 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
14.05.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Naples USL1
09.03.2025 Naples 1-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga Red Wolves
1-0
AWAY Naples
1.84 xG 0.80
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
216 Passes 384
28 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves squeezed past Naples 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chattanooga Red Wolves as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.33 for Naples.

What was the final score of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?

Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga Red Wolves 55%, draw 23%, Naples 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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