Naples 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naples
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.81 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
226 Passes 130
59% Pass Accuracy 53%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1 HT 1-1 Naples USL1
09.03.2025 Naples 1-1 HT 0-0 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
2-2
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.44 xG 2.06
68% Ball Possession 32%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
380 Passes 139
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples and Chattanooga Red Wolves couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Naples at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Naples had 68% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 32%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.44 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chattanooga Red Wolves led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Naples and 2.00 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Naples 2-2 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Naples 49%, draw 25%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naples), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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