Spokane Velocity 2-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.89/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.9 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 0.88
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
456 Passes 486
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
22.09.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
20.05.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 0-3 HT 0-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-1
AWAY Forward Madison
1.34 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 397
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity squeezed past Forward Madison 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Spokane Velocity made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 44% of the ball to Forward Madison's 56%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Spokane Velocity and 1.67 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?

Spokane Velocity 2-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 40%, draw 32%, Forward Madison 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spokane Velocity) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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