Corpus Christi 4-1 Sarasota Paradise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.68
No
40%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Corpus Christi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarasota Paradise EU Bookmakers 34%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
0.96/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.61
+102% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
13.0 Crosses 17.2
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Corpus Christi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarasota Paradise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.34 xG 1.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
281 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2026 Sarasota Paradise Sarasota Paradise 2-1 HT 1-0 Corpus Christi Corpus Christi USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Corpus Christi
4-1
AWAY Sarasota Paradise
2.07 xG 1.56
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
245 Passes 375
18 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corpus Christi cruised past Sarasota Paradise 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Corpus Christi made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.07 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?

Corpus Christi 4-1 Sarasota Paradise in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Corpus Christi vs Sarasota Paradise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Corpus Christi win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Corpus Christi 35%, draw 33%, Sarasota Paradise 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corpus Christi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Corpus Christi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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