Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.28
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
74%
-9.0pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 11%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.16/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.26
+20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 71%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
21.7 Crosses 19.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.03.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.84 xG 0.32
74% Ball Possession 26%
20 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
456 Passes 97
85% Pass Accuracy 50%
31 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Red Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chongqing Tongliang Long at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 74% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 26%, shots finished 20-3, expected goals 1.84 to 0.32.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 65%, draw 19%, Qingdao Red Lions 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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