Suzhou Dongwu 2-0 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
47%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.29/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.26
+7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.7 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.98 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
259 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.03.2024 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 4-1 HT 3-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
03.06.2023 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 3-0 HT 1-0 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suzhou Dongwu
2-0
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.58 xG 0.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Suzhou Dongwu vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suzhou Dongwu beat Wuxi Wugou 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suzhou Dongwu as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Suzhou Dongwu had 54% of the ball to Wuxi Wugou's 46%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.58 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Suzhou Dongwu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.33 for Wuxi Wugou.

What was the final score of Suzhou Dongwu vs Wuxi Wugou?

Suzhou Dongwu 2-0 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suzhou Dongwu vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suzhou Dongwu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Suzhou Dongwu 45%, draw 25%, Wuxi Wugou 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suzhou Dongwu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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