Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.38
Over 2.5
41%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
7.02
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
69%
-9.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
31%
+9.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Qingdao Red Lions vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions edged past Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Qingdao Red Lions made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Qingdao Red Lions vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Red Lions vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Red Lions 34%, draw 31%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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