23/03/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Under 2.5
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
64%
30%
Draw
23%
23%
Away Win
12%
59%
Under 2.5
60%
41%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS Yes
34%
50%
BTTS No
66%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yunnan Yukun v Foshan Nanshi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yunnan Yukun
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Foshan Nanshi
EU Bookmakers 15%
+31% /
+31%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
-8%
0.73/0.72
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.51/1.25
+20%
/
-24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+26%
/
+12%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
344 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
231 · 71%
14.0
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.8
21.0
Crosses
11.3
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.9
Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Yunnan Yukun
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Foshan Nanshi
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
0.82
xG
0.11
61%
Ball Possession
39%
13
Total Shots
4
3
Shots on Target
0
6
Corners
3
405
Passes
223
77%
Pass Accuracy
66%
20
Box Touches
9
26
Crosses
8
0
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Yunnan Yukun swept aside Foshan Nanshi 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi?
Yunnan Yukun 3-0 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Foshan Nanshi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 47%, draw 30%, Foshan Nanshi 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun)
✗ Under 2.5
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ÇİN2
More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
23 Mar 2024