Nanjing City 0-1 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.87
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.25
-9% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
22.7 Crosses 13.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 0.47
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
292 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
20.05.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
0-1
AWAY Yanbian Longding
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding edged past Nanjing City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Nanjing City at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nanjing City had 48% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 52%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nanjing City and 0.50 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding?

Nanjing City 0-1 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 53%, draw 27%, Yanbian Longding 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nanjing City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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