Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.65
6+ Goals
12%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+9.4pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
48%
Away Win
64%
-15.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 69%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.57/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.52
-5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
11.3 Crosses 19.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.50 xG 1.57
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
154 Passes 260
60% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.10.2023 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 1-1 HT 1-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
09.08.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 2-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
23.07.2022 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-2 HT 0-2 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebei Kungfu edged past Jiangxi Beidamen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hebei Kungfu as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jiangxi Beidamen and 1.75 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Hebei Kungfu?

Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hebei Kungfu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 23%, draw 28%, Hebei Kungfu 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hebei Kungfu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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