Göteborg 1-1 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Jul 2024

Göteborg
1-1 HT 0-0
Vasteras SK FK
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Göteborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 30% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
10%
4.76
X/2
12%
7.49
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
16%
5.07
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Göteborg v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.21/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.68
-35% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
21.5 Crosses 26.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Göteborg vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
The Meetings
22.02.2020 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK

Göteborg 1-1 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-1
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
0.10 xG 0.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 7
– Passes 37
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
3 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg and Vasteras SK FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Göteborg had 43% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 57%, shots finished 2-2, expected goals 0.10 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Vasteras SK FK?

Göteborg 1-1 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 40%, draw 26%, Vasteras SK FK 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Göteborg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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