Norrköping 1-0 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.0
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.33
X/2
12%
7.86
X/X
7%
5.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.58
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.35/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.57
-37% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
23.8 Crosses 19.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Halmstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.78 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
435 Passes 303
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 1-3 HT 1-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
10.07.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 1-2 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
22.08.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
25.04.2021 Norrköping Norrköping 2-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
23.02.2020 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 1-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
23.09.2017 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 1-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-0
AWAY Halmstad
1.17 xG 0.39
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
490 Passes 308
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past Halmstad 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Norrköping as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Norrköping had 59% of the ball to Halmstad's 41%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.17 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norrköping and 1.33 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Halmstad?

Norrköping 1-0 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 45%, draw 24%, Halmstad 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norrköping) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Norrköping) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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