Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-2 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
33%
+3.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 46%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -22%
1.49/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.21
+68% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
8.5 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0W-0D-1L
AWAY The Strongest
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 1.26
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
313 Passes 273
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 1-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
5-2
AWAY The Strongest
2.56 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
261 Passes 196
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ ran out comfortable winners over The Strongest 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Gualberto Villarroel SJ found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 54% of the ball to The Strongest's 46%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.56 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs The Strongest?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-2 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated an The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 37%, draw 23%, The Strongest 40%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (The Strongest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ BTTS Yes
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