Vejle 2-3 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
16.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.63
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
9%
7.37
X/2
9%
4.41
X/X
15%
4.43
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.73
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vejle EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.19/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.14
-3% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.5 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vejle
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Randers FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.54 xG 2.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
289 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
14.04.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
01.12.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
17.09.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
21.11.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
18.07.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-2 HT 0-2 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vejle
2-3
AWAY Randers FC
0.28 xG 1.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 10
363 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vejle vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC edged past Vejle 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Vejle had 54% of the ball to Randers FC's 46%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.28 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Randers FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vejle and 1.83 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of Vejle vs Randers FC?

Vejle 2-3 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vejle vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vejle 29%, draw 30%, Randers FC 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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