Viborg 3-3 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 21 Jul 2024

Viborg
3-3 HT 2-1
Brondby
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Viborg vs Brondby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.25
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
14%
7.48
X/2
13%
4.66
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.68
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v Brondby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +15%
1.38/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.33
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.1 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Viborg vs Brondby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
340 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
08.10.2023 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.05.2023 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
02.04.2023 Brondby Brondby 0-3 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
13.11.2022 Brondby Brondby 0-2 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
18.09.2022 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN

Viborg 3-3 Brondby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
3-3
AWAY Brondby
2.03 xG 2.26
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
300 Passes 602
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 52
8 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg and Brondby couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viborg had 35% of the ball to Brondby's 65%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 2.03 to 2.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Viborg and 0.67 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Brondby?

Viborg 3-3 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Viborg 32%, draw 27%, Brondby 41%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brondby)
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