Grulla Morioka 0-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 54%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.89
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 3-0 HT 1-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
26.08.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-1 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
17.06.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-2 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
28.11.2021 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
03.07.2021 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
18.10.2020 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
0-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama edged past Grulla Morioka 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 42% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 58%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grulla Morioka and 1.00 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Kataller Toyama?

Grulla Morioka 0-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J3 League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 30%, draw 24%, Kataller Toyama 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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