Ryukyu 1-4 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +8%
1.44/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.85
+9% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
244 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 1-2 HT 0-2 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
23.09.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
08.04.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-2 HT 0-2 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
1-4
AWAY Nara Club
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club ran out comfortable winners over Ryukyu 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Nara Club made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ryukyu had 51% of the ball to Nara Club's 49%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Nara Club?

Ryukyu 1-4 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 37%, draw 30%, Nara Club 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ryukyu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ryukyu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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