FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Dainava Alytus v Banga Gargzdai — Team-Based Signals
FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
FK Dainava Alytus
LIT1
0-1
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
LITA
2-1
HT 1-1
FK Dainava Alytus
LIT1
2-1
HT 0-1
Banga Gargzdai
LIT1
FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 Banga Gargzdai — Actual Match Statistics
FK Dainava Alytus beat Banga Gargzdai 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; FK Dainava Alytus found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, FK Dainava Alytus had 49% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 51%, shots finished 15-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for Banga Gargzdai.
What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?
FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Banga Gargzdai?
Before kick-off our model rated an Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 34%, draw 26%, Banga Gargzdai 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.