ENPPI 1-4 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

ENPPI
1-4 HT 0-3
Masr
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.66
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ENPPI EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.87
-18% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +106%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.8 Crosses 12.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ENPPI
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Masr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Masr 0-1 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
03.10.2020 Masr 1-1 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
18.01.2020 ENPPI ENPPI 2-1 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ENPPI
1-4
AWAY Masr
1.66 xG 1.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
307 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 9
POST-MATCH ENPPI vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr swept aside ENPPI 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 32%) promised a tight game; Masr found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ENPPI had 50% of the ball to Masr's 50%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.66 to 1.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, ENPPI had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for ENPPI and 0.67 for Masr.

What was the final score of ENPPI vs Masr?

ENPPI 1-4 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ENPPI vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated a ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ENPPI 37%, draw 32%, Masr 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ENPPI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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