Al Masry 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Masry EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.08/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.37
-27% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
18.2 Crosses 14.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Masry
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 0.92
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
370 Passes 188
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
13.04.2023 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
21.12.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
30.08.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
01.05.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
08.08.2021 Al Masry Al Masry 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Masry
1-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.21 xG 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
270 Passes 213
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Masry vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry and Al Mokawloon shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Masry at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Masry had 55% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 45%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.21 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Masry and 1.17 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Al Masry vs Al Mokawloon?

Al Masry 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Masry vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Masry 46%, draw 29%, Al Mokawloon 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Masry), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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