El Daklyeh 1-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
51%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 32% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.4pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.9pp
51%
Away Win
68%
-16.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Daklyeh EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 72%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
0.87/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.76
+8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
10.2 Crosses 19.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Daklyeh
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Zamalek
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
195 Passes 508
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.02.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 0-0 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
22.05.2023 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
05.01.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 0-1 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
13.06.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 0-1 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSRK
01.10.2014 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 El Daklyeh El Daklyeh MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Daklyeh
1-2
AWAY Zamalek
1.20 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
365 Passes 461
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Daklyeh vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek nicked a narrow win over El Daklyeh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zamalek as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, El Daklyeh had 45% of the ball to Zamalek's 55%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.20 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for El Daklyeh and 1.00 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of El Daklyeh vs Zamalek?

El Daklyeh 1-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Daklyeh vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split El Daklyeh 24%, draw 25%, Zamalek 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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