Flamengo vs Fluminense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Fluminense — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Fluminense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Fluminense
BRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BRK
Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Fluminense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Flamengo had 66% of the ball to Fluminense's 34%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.97 to 0.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Flamengo and 0.50 for Fluminense.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Flamengo 1-0 Fluminense in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Fluminense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 47%, draw 30%, Fluminense 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.