21/07/2025
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Johor DT vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
27%
Draw
21%
25%
Away Win
19%
45%
Under 2.5
40%
55%
Over 2.5
60%
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
43%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Johor DT v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Johor DT
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Riyadh
EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
451 · 87%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
351 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Johor DT vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Johor DT squeezed past Al Riyadh 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Johor DT as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Johor DT vs Al Riyadh?
Johor DT 1-0 Al Riyadh in the Friendlies on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Johor DT vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Johor DT 48%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Johor DT) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Johor DT)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
21 Jul 2025