Olympic Charleroi 1-1 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jul 2025

Olympic Charleroi
1-1 HT 1-0
Marsilya
📅21/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Olympic Charleroi vs Marsilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
12.23
Draw
26%
7.78
Away
48%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
4.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
5%
+20.6pp
26%
Draw
9%
+16.9pp
48%
Away Win
85%
-37.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.3pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olympic Charleroi v Marsilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 91%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -50%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 529 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Olympic Charleroi vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympic Charleroi and Marsilya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Marsilya at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Olympic Charleroi vs Marsilya?

Olympic Charleroi 1-1 Marsilya in the Friendlies on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympic Charleroi vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Olympic Charleroi 26%, draw 26%, Marsilya 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Marsilya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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