Sporting CP 1-0 Sunderland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jul 2025

Sporting CP
1-0 HT 1-0
Sunderland
📅21/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Sporting CP vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
4.97
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
7%
7.66
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.97 — our 30% vs market 16.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.09
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
11%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
12%
10.15
X/X
9%
6.32
2/1
8%
20.05
2/2
11%
7.34
2/X
5%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.69/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.69
-8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.8 Yellow Cards –

Sporting CP 1-0 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
1-0
AWAY Sunderland
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Sunderland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP edged past Sunderland 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sporting CP had 56% of the ball to Sunderland's 44%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Sunderland?

Sporting CP 1-0 Sunderland in the Friendlies on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Sunderland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 46%, draw 26%, Sunderland 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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