Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-3 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.76/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.30
-1% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 13.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
172 Passes 397
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.05.2025 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
14.07.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 HT 0-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
09.06.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
12.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
14.05.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
02.10.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 4-0 HT 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-3
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
302 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu saw off Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tegevajaro Miyazaki at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 50% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 50%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.17 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-3 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 49%, draw 24%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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