FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 21 Jul 2025

FK Rodina Moskva
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Chernomorets
📅21/07/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2025/2026

FK Rodina Moskva vs Chernomorets Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

FK Rodina Moskva v Chernomorets — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FK Rodina Moskva The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets The Market 31%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.45 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.92
1.12 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
213 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

FK Rodina Moskva vs Chernomorets Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.11.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 0-1 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
01.09.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-2 HT 1-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
12.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 4-0 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
01.11.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 3-0 HT 2-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RKBL
23.07.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1

FK Rodina Moskva 1-1 Chernomorets — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1 - 1
AWAY Chernomorets
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW FK Rodina Moskva vs Chernomorets
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Rodina Moskva and Chernomorets couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

A gentle 46% lean on FK Rodina Moskva didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (55%) landed.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 60% of the ball to Chernomorets's 40%, shots finished 12-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 5 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for FK Rodina Moskva and 0.60 for Chernomorets.

FK Rodina Moskva vs Chernomorets Result & Final Score

FK Rodina Moskva 1 - 1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Rodina Moskva vs Chernomorets Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 46%, draw 28%, Chernomorets 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5
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