OFK Beograd 1-3 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.99/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.35
+60% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.2 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.35 xG 0.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
198 Passes 376
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.03.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
19.10.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
1-3
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.73 xG 2.76
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
378 Passes 279
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Subotica got the better of OFK Beograd 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was OFK Beograd at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 56% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 44%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.73 to 2.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, OFK Beograd had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 0.67 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

OFK Beograd 1-3 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 43%, draw 26%, Spartak Subotica 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OFK Beograd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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