Alloa Athletic 1-1 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
9.57
Draw
19%
5.71
Away
72%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.53
6+ Goals
14%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
7%
+2.1pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.7pp
72%
Away Win
79%
-6.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 84%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.25/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.21/0.19
+79% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
194 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Falkirk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
7 Corners 4
27.01.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 0-5 HT 0-1 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
28.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 3-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
26.08.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-4 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
22.04.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-4 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
18.02.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.02.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alloa Athletic and Falkirk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Falkirk at 72% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alloa Athletic and 3.00 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

Alloa Athletic 1-1 Falkirk in the Scotland - League Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 9%, draw 19%, Falkirk 72%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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