Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
77%
-5.0pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.3pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
1-0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.53 xG 0.06
15 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
703 Passes 147
29 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 8
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe nicked a narrow win over Gornik Zabrze 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-2, expected goals 1.53 to 0.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?

Fenerbahçe 1-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Champions League on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 72%, draw 14%, Gornik Zabrze 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5
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