Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.99/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.90
-20% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.92 xG 1.27
16 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
222 Passes 331
26 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun and Dinamo Zagreb couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 0.92 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Thun 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Champions League on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Thun 33%, draw 24%, Dinamo Zagreb 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb)
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