Zamora 3-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Aug 2024

Zamora
3-2 HT 0-2
UCV
📅21/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
30%
Draw
33%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.2pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.10/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
16.7 Crosses 17.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
2W-2D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.83 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 231
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 UCV UCV 2-2 HT 0-2 Zamora Zamora VEN
15.07.2023 UCV UCV 5-0 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
01.05.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
02.09.2022 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
18.03.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
3-2
AWAY UCV
1.51 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
344 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zamora vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora edged past UCV 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Zamora found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zamora had 59% of the ball to UCV's 41%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.51 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zamora had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Zamora and 1.60 for UCV.

What was the final score of Zamora vs UCV?

Zamora 3-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Zamora 34%, draw 30%, UCV 36%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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