Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 18%
-14% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -3%
1.89/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.81
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.1
19.4 Crosses 11.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.42 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 304
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
01.05.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
03.03.2024 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
16.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
25.02.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
15.10.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1-0
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.21 xG 0.06
73% Ball Possession 27%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
570 Passes 168
91% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira nicked a narrow win over Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 73% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 27%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Guaira had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.83 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Deportivo La Guaira 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 56%, draw 22%, Hermanos Colmenarez 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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