Juventude 2-0 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Aug 2025

Juventude
2-0 HT 2-0
Vasco da Gama
📅21/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Juventude vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
10%
7.46
X/2
19%
4.54
X/X
9%
4.26
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.73
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventude v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 50%
+11% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.46
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
20.9 Crosses 18.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.1

Juventude vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.45 xG 0.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
306 Passes 304
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-1 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
20.06.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
07.11.2009 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
01.08.2009 Juventude Juventude 1-2 HT 1-2 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
04.10.2007 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
08.07.2007 Juventude Juventude 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1

Juventude 2-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
2-0
AWAY Vasco da Gama
23% Ball Possession 77%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
203 Passes 800
79% Pass Accuracy 94%
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude beat Vasco da Gama 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vasco da Gama at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Juventude had 23% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 77%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventude had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventude and 0.83 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Vasco da Gama?

Juventude 2-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Juventude 27%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasco da Gama), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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