HJK Helsinki 1-0 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Suomen Cup, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.93
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.9
X/1
21%
4.13
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
7%
6.21
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
7%
8.14
2/X
5%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.43/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.04
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +85%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
484 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HJK Helsinki
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Oulu
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.59 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
424 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-1 HT 2-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
14.06.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-4 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.07.2024 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
31.05.2024 Oulu Oulu 1-0 HT 1-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
27.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-3 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
23.04.2023 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 1-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HJK Helsinki
1-0
AWAY Oulu
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HJK Helsinki vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki edged past Oulu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HJK Helsinki had 57% of the ball to Oulu's 43%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for HJK Helsinki and 0.67 for Oulu.

What was the final score of HJK Helsinki vs Oulu?

HJK Helsinki 1-0 Oulu in the Finland - Suomen Cup on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HJK Helsinki vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated a HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split HJK Helsinki 56%, draw 22%, Oulu 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →