Gornik Leczna 1-1 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Aug 2025

📅21/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.78
Over
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.88
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.57
6+
9%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce The Market 45%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.24/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.02
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-3 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
26.10.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
28.02.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POLK
11.07.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 2-3 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
20.10.2019 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-4 HT 2-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
08.07.2017 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
1-1
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Gornik Leczna vs Pogon Siedlce
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gornik Leczna and Pogon Siedlce finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Pogon Siedlce at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. The market went further still — the under-2.5 price closed at 1.78, about 56%.

The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Gornik Leczna's favour, shots finished 19-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Gornik Leczna against 2.00 for Pogon Siedlce.

Gornik Leczna vs Pogon Siedlce Result & Final Score

Gornik Leczna 1-1 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gornik Leczna vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 35%, draw 24%, Pogon Siedlce 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✓ BTTS Yes
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