Changchun YaTai 3-4 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.95
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
73%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
9.69
2-3 Goals
40%
2.51
4-5 Goals
26%
2.32
6+ Goals
12%
3.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
16.55
1/2
4%
18.35
1/X
3%
24.0
X/1
4%
25.5
X/2
11%
3.77
X/X
7%
12.1
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
59%
1.34
2/X
3%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
9%
+4.2pp
13%
Draw
12%
+0.8pp
73%
Away Win
78%
-5.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+14.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-14.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 84%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.17/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.86/0.86
+44% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -34%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
199 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 84%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 45.8
9.0 Crosses 30.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.92 xG 2.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
320 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 5-2 HT 3-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
15.09.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
29.05.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 0-3 HT 0-3 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
31.12.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 4-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
09.10.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-4 HT 1-2 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
03.08.2021 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 2-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
3-4
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.23 xG 1.64
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
185 Passes 333
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port nicked a narrow win over Changchun YaTai 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 41% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 59%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.23 to 1.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Changchun YaTai and 3.17 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Shanghai Port?

Changchun YaTai 3-4 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 13%, draw 13%, Shanghai Port 73%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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