Henan Jianye 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.13
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
8%
10.5
X/2
18%
3.82
X/X
9%
5.56
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.02
2/X
9%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.41/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.04
-83% / +115% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
15.3 Crosses 20.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Henan Jianye
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.51 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
249 Passes 262
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 4-2 HT 3-2 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
11.07.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİNSL
16.04.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
05.12.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 0-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
25.09.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Henan Jianye
2-0
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
1.10 xG 1.12
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
183 Passes 404
62% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Henan Jianye got the better of Chengdu Qianbao 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Henan Jianye had 37% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 63%, shots finished 5-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Henan Jianye and 1.60 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Henan Jianye 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Henan Jianye vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Henan Jianye 26%, draw 25%, Chengdu Qianbao 49%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ BTTS Yes
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