Basingstoke Town 1-1 Sholing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sholing EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
2.29/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.20
+22% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sholing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.12.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Sholing Sholing İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Sholing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town and Sholing shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Sholing?

Basingstoke Town 1-1 Sholing in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Sholing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 49%, draw 24%, Sholing 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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