Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.01
-16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
435 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
1-1
AWAY Stockton Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity and Stockton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gainsborough Trinity at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 54% of the ball to Stockton Town's 46%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Stockton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 45%, draw 25%, Stockton Town 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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