Hungerford Town 9-3 Plymouth Parkway — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
2.45/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.99
+51% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hungerford Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Plymouth Parkway
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
20.01.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 6-2 HT 3-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
05.08.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 7-0 HT 3-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Plymouth Parkway
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hungerford Town ran out comfortable winners over Plymouth Parkway 9-3. Half-time: 5-2. 12 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hungerford Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 9-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for Hungerford Town and 3.00 for Plymouth Parkway.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Hungerford Town 9-3 Plymouth Parkway in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Plymouth Parkway?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 42%, draw 28%, Plymouth Parkway 30%. The final score 9-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hungerford Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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