Workington 3-1 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.97
Over 2.5
43%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.66
No
59%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.5pp
59%
BTTS No
44%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Workington EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.84/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Workington
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Whitby Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2024 Workington Workington 0-0 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Workington vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington beat Whitby Town 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Workington found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Workington and 0.50 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Workington vs Whitby Town?

Workington 3-1 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Workington vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Workington 34%, draw 26%, Whitby Town 40%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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