Venezia vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
Venezia
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTB
1-2
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Genoa
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTA
Venezia 2-0 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Venezia beat Genoa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Genoa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Venezia had 49% of the ball to Genoa's 51%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.66 to 0.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genoa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Venezia and 1.33 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Genoa?
Venezia 2-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Venezia 33%, draw 27%, Genoa 41%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Genoa) went the other way.