Avellino 0-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.99
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 17%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.43/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.27
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-3D-2L
AWAY US Latina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2024 US Latina US Latina 0-5 HT 0-5 Avellino Avellino İTC
02.09.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
29.01.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
24.09.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
22.02.2022 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
12.09.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
0-1
AWAY US Latina
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Avellino vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina edged past Avellino 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Avellino at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Avellino had 60% of the ball to US Latina's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, US Latina led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avellino and 0.67 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Avellino vs US Latina?

Avellino 0-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Avellino 51%, draw 25%, US Latina 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avellino) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avellino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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