US Latina 0-5 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.23
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
5.02
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 48%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.85
-9% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Avellino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.09.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-2 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
29.01.2023 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
24.09.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
22.02.2022 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTC
12.09.2021 Avellino Avellino 1-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
18.05.2017 Avellino Avellino 2-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-5
AWAY Avellino
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino ran out comfortable winners over US Latina 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Avellino made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, US Latina had 52% of the ball to Avellino's 48%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, US Latina had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for US Latina and 0.50 for Avellino.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Avellino?

US Latina 0-5 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split US Latina 29%, draw 33%, Avellino 38%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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